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04.01.2023 01:55 PMThe USD/JPY pair dropped today after reaching 131.46 today's high. Now, it's located at 130.47 at the time of writing. Technically, the price action signaled that the downside movement could be over and that the buyers could take the lead.
Fundamentally, the Japanese Final Manufacturing PMI came in at 48.9 points above the 48.8 points expected. Still, only the US data could really bring a clear direction to this market. ISM Manufacturing PMI could remain in the contraction territory at 48.5 points, while JOLTS Job Openings could drop from 10.33M to 10.04 in November, while ISM Manufacturing Prices and Wards Total Vehicle Sales indicators will be released as well.
The FOMC Meeting Minutes represent the most important event of the day. It remains to see how it will react after this report.
From the technical point of view, USD/JPY is trapped between the 129.50 and 131.39 levels. Now, it has retested the 130.39 historical level. 130.04 is seen as a downside obstacle (support) as well.
Personally, I've drawn an ascending pitchfork hoping that I'll catch an upside movement. The lower median line (lml) represents dynamic support.
False breakdowns below 130.04 and through the lower median line (lml) could announce a new bullish momentum. This is seen as a first long opportunity. 131.39 is seen as the next upside target.
A valid breakout through 131.39 could open the door for larger growth. This is seen as a buying opportunity as well.
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