empty
10.04.2025 06:49 AM
What to Pay Attention to on April 10? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports:

This image is no longer relevant

There are very few macroeconomic events scheduled for Thursday, but the U.S. inflation report still holds some relevance for traders. At the moment, inflation has limited influence because virtually everyone expects it to accelerate in 2025. Therefore, even if inflation declines today, it shouldn't affect the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. The U.S. central bank is unlikely to lower interest rates now, only to raise them again in the second half of the year. No other significant reports are expected throughout the day.

Analysis of Fundamental Events:

This image is no longer relevant

There's still little point in discussing anything other than Trump's trade war. The dollar's decline may continue indefinitely despite last week's upward correction. We recommend that traders focus on statements from top officials of major countries and alliances regarding tariffs. Trump stated that any retaliation against his actions to "eliminate unfairness" will be met with new sanctions and tariffs.

At the same time, the U.S. president introduced a 90-day grace period for all countries except China, during which a flat 10% import tariff will apply. According to Trump, this period is meant to negotiate trade agreements. However, we'd like to point out that the likelihood of reaching deals with the EU or China remains extremely low.

General Conclusions:

Both currency pairs (EUR/USD and GBP/USD) may move in either direction on this second-to-last trading day of the week. The market remains in a state of panic and chaos, so there's no clear logic behind price movements. News about the trade war is released every few hours, and today's U.S. inflation report could also influence market behavior.

Key Rules for the Trading System:

  1. Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.
  2. False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.
  3. Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.
  4. Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.
  5. MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.
  6. Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.
  7. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.

Key Chart Elements:

Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders.

Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading.

MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals.

Important speeches and reports, which are consistently featured in the news calendar, can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade with caution or consider exiting the market to avoid potential sharp price reversals against the prior trend.

Beginners in the Forex market should understand that not every transaction will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and practicing effective money management are crucial for achieving long-term success in trading.

Paolo Greco,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

GBP/USD Overview – April 29: Are Labor Market and Unemployment Data Important?

On Monday, the GBP/USD currency pair also traded with low volatility and mainly moved sideways, although the British pound maintained a slight upward bias. Despite the lack of market-relevant news

Paolo Greco 04:33 2025-04-29 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – April 29: The Weak Yield, the Strong Resist

On Monday, the EUR/USD currency pair remained immobilized. There were no updates over the weekend from Donald Trump regarding trade developments, and no important data or events were scheduled

Paolo Greco 04:33 2025-04-29 UTC+2

The Euro Looks for a Basis for Another Upward Surge

Business activity indices in the eurozone are declining amid heightened uncertainty. The composite index in April fell from 50.9 to 50.1, nearing contraction territory. At the same time, Germany's

Kuvat Raharjo 00:54 2025-04-29 UTC+2

The Dollar Continues to Sell Off, Outlook Remains Weak

As shown by the latest CFTC report, U.S. dollar futures indicate a further deterioration in its outlook. During the reporting week, the net short position on the USD increased

Kuvat Raharjo 00:54 2025-04-29 UTC+2

Bitcoin Can't Lose

There's never a dull moment with Bitcoin. Sometimes it behaves like a risky asset, sometimes like a safe haven. At the beginning of April, the cryptocurrency was jokingly referred

Marek Petkovich 19:03 2025-04-28 UTC+2

The Market Has Outplayed the Professionals

"Follow the smart money" — this classic principle of technical analysis suggests it's safer to side with professionals rather than the crowd. However, in 2025, such an approach would have

Marek Petkovich 19:00 2025-04-28 UTC+2

USD fails to be resilient

Is the US dollar overvalued? Bank of America thinks so. The bank points out that in previous cycles, when the USD Index peaked in the mid-1980s and early 2000s

Marek Petkovich 16:23 2025-04-28 UTC+2

ECB Ready to Cut Rates Further

Officials at the European Central Bank are preparing for further interest rate cuts, anticipating that U.S. tariff policies will inflict serious and prolonged damage on the economy, even

Jakub Novak 09:24 2025-04-28 UTC+2

The Upcoming Week May Be Positive for Markets but Negative for the Dollar and Gold (we expect further growth in CFD contracts for S&P 500 futures and Bitcoin)

The upcoming week will be rich in important economic data releases, which could have a noticeable impact on market dynamics — but will they be able to? Amid the geopolitical

Pati Gani 09:12 2025-04-28 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Weekly Preview. Eurozone Inflation, U.S. GDP, ISM Manufacturing Index, April Nonfarm Payrolls

The upcoming week's economic calendar is packed with important releases. As usual, the beginning of a new month brings significant macroeconomic reports from the U.S. and the Eurozone, typically triggering

Irina Manzenko 06:49 2025-04-28 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.