過去的這個交易日不僅標誌著交易週的結束,也標誌著整個月份的結束。2月創下了6,147.20的新高,但未能取得更顯著的上漲。在2月最後的一根K線顯示不確定性,這為繼續每月向下修正創造了條件。在月度時間框架內,最近的目標是短期趨勢,目前在5,618.25。在到達這個水準的路上,空頭必須測試每週Ichimoku金叉的支撐位,位於5,774.49 – 5,686.52。如果月線短期趨勢在5,618.25被突破,則每週金叉將無效,這將為空頭開啟新的下行機會。
如果多頭能夠堅守陣地,目前高點6,147.20的更新將把焦點轉向心理阻力位於6,250 – 6,300 – 6,350 – 6,400。
在日線時間框架中,市場目前正在努力使日線交叉失效,並試圖突破位於5,948.02的Ichimoku雲層。如果空頭在接下來的幾天繼續下跌並突破每週支撐位5,862.50,市場可能會以實現日線突破目標5,748.84為目標,並測試每週中期趨勢5,777.11。相反地,若多頭欲重新掌控局勢,他們需重返相對於日線雲層的多頭區域,重新測試最近被突破的日線Ichimoku交叉位於5,991.84至6,037.49的區間,並在這些阻力位之上鞏固。
在較低時間框架中,市場已接近每週長期趨勢5,965.29。即將到來的交易週可能會以測試此水平為開始,這可能決定市場的方向。這是在較低時間框架中最關鍵的水平,若能保持在此之上,有利於看漲動能,並且日內上升目標與經典樞軸阻力位一致。相反地,若在此水平遭到拒絕並跌破,可能觸發看跌情緒,經典樞軸支持位則成為下行目標。這些樞軸值在市場開盤時每天更新。
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